Death toll of the Cold War: a rough estimate

6-1-2016: rot13ing this post because it’s getting Google hits and it’s not rigorous enough to deserve them

Qba’g gnxr guvf gbb frevbhfyl; vg’f abg ng nyy evtbebhf.

HFN-HFFE cebkl jnef, hfvat guvf yvfg:

Terrx Pvivy Jne (158,000)
Svefg Vaqbpuvan Jne (125,000–400,000)
Znynlna Rzretrapl (11,000)
Xberna Jne (2,500,000)
Fhrm Pevfvf (3,850–5,000)
Fbhgurnfg Nfvna jnef (1,102,000–3,890,000)
Thngrznyna Pvivy Jne (140,000–200,000)
Pbatb Pevfvf (100,000–200,000)
Onl bs Cvtf (4,300)
Vaqb-Cnxvfgnav Jne (13,000)
Natbyna Pvivy Jne (507,000–527,000)
Jne va Nstunavfgna (957,000–1,623,000)
Btnqra Jne (13,000)
Gbgny: 5,621,150–9,544,300 (gur ybjre obhaq qbrfa’g pbhag gur Vaqb-Cnxvfgnav jne; V’z abg fher jul vg’f vapyhqrq)

Nppbhagvat sbe gur qrngu gbyyf orlbaq bhgevtug jne vf gevpxvre: gur ahzoref urer jbhyq zbfgyl pbzr sebz gur zvftbireanapr bs vafgnyyrq ertvzrf, juvpu cerfragf gjb ceboyrzf. Svefg, vg’f uneq gb gryy juvpu ertvzrf jrer vafgnyyrq; frpbaq, vg’f uneqre gb whqtr gur qrngu gbyyf bs tbireazragf guna bs jnef.

Rfgnoyvfuvat na hccre obhaq vf rnfl: nffhzr gung Puvan jrag Erq orpnhfr bs gur HFFE. Erq Puvan vf rfgvzngrq gb unir xvyyrq orgjrra 40 naq 70 zvyyvba crbcyr. (Nobhg unys bs gurfr qrnguf jrer qhr gb gur Terng Yrnc Sbejneq.) Gung vf n irel ynetr ahzore; nqqvat gb vg, juvyr cbffvoyr, jbhyq or cbvagvat n tneqra ubfr ng n fjvzzvat cbby.

Hayrff jr vapyhqr gur HFFE vgfrys. Svaqvat n oernxqbja ol lrne vf gevpxl, ohg guvf tvirf n svther bs 15,613,000 sbe 1946 gb 1954.

Gur rfgvzngr Arpebzrgevpf tvirf gung’f onfrq ba rfgvzngrf znqr nsgre 1980 tvirf 58,000,000 sbe Erq Puvan, fb gur hccre obhaq vf nebhaq 74 zvyyvba — jbefr guna JJV.

Gelvat gb sbez na npphengr rfgvzngr sbe gur bgure chccrg tbireazragf jbhyq gnxr sne gbb zhpu gvzr.

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4 responses to “Death toll of the Cold War: a rough estimate

  1. Pingback: Death toll of the Cold War: a rough estimate | Reaction Times

  2. Kontextmaschine/Senescent July 11, 2014 at 8:45 am

    Correct measure isn’t raw mortality, it’s mortality above baseline, ie how much the petty nationalist wars woulda claimed without superpower patrons (also minus the wars that got squelched).

    But that’s at least three more doses of piss in your model’s pintglass

    • nydwracu July 11, 2014 at 10:54 pm

      Right. A lot of these wars had one side created by a superpower, but I left out the decolonization wars for this reason — the USA-USSR consensus toward decolonization was probably a contributing factor, but most of them would’ve happened anyway.

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